2020-21 MLB free-agent superlatives: The player most likely to …

  • Senior writer of SweetSpot baseball blog
  • Former deputy editor of Page 2
  • Been with ESPN.com since 1995

We are back for the third annual edition of free-agent superlatives, although this offseason will be decidedly less super for some free agents than they might have expected a year ago. Read Jeff Passan’s analysis on why this offseason will be so different from recent years … and then come back here to check out some of the key “what might happen” subplots of the 2020-21 free-agent class.

Guy most likely to get the biggest deal: J.T. Realmuto. This is usually an easy call — Gerrit Cole last offseason, Bryce Harper the year before that — but there are three candidates this offseason in Realmuto, George Springer and Trevor Bauer. In his free-agent rankings, colleague Kiley McDaniel predicted Realmuto would get five years, $110 million; Springer four years and $108 million; and Bauer one year, $31 million. Bauer has backed away from his stated intention of signing only one-year deals, however, so a four-year deal coming off his Cy Young season could be in the $120 million range.

Here’s why each could get the biggest deal:

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