The Saturday Telegraph’s racing editor Ray Thomas and Sky Thoroughbred Central’s form expert Ron Dufficy debate the chances on the 10-race Rosehill Gardens meeting on Saturday.
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DUFF’S SUGGESTED BETS
R8 No. 1: Ashim
R2 No. 11: Zoo Station
R4 No. 5: All Time legend
R9 No. 10: Cuban Royale
R1: Elite Sand And Soil Hcp (1200m)
Ron Dufficy: Military Expert looks a nice horse. He was heavily backed and just missed on debut. He did plenty of work in front and showed good fight when challenged by King Of Sparta. Military Expert is a kilo better off and can only improve. In saying that, King of Sparta showed a good turn of speed first-up as a gelding and is a leading chance again. Picarones has gone well in two recent trials but needs things to go right for her from a wide draw. Sir Crackle was great at the trials prior to a wide run on a heavy track when making his debut. He is worth another chance from an inside draw and drier track.
Ray Thomas: I’m gone the other way with King Of Sparta to again edge out Military Expert. They were both very good at the Kensington meeting with King Of Sparta showing he has returned a better horse this campaign with his determined win. He can only be improved by the run but this also applies to Military Expert. He only had one trial leading into his debut race and showed plenty of quality to make a race of it with King Of Sparta. Sir Crackle will run an improved race and Coastwatch is a capable young sprinter.
R2: TAB Highway (1500m)
Dufficy: I’m very keen on Zoo Station. I’ve loved the way she has hit the line in two runs from a spell. From a better draw, she can race closer and I’m convinced she will eat up the 1500m. Bold And Wild is ready to win again. He should get a cosy run on top of the speed. Dream Runner has had to deal with very wet tracks at his last two starts but with James McDonald booked and out to 1500m on a drier track, he looks well suited. Tags has talent but needs luck from his wide draw.
Thomas: Zoo Station drew off the track and had to go back to the rear of the field early and her effort to close wide out to finish just behind the placegetters at Randwick was very good. She was hugely impressive when winning first-up on this track. Drawn well this time and should get the right run. I’ve got the same top four as you with Dream Runner set to improve, Bold And Wild and Tags both set to run competitive races.
R3: Bowermans Commercial Furniture Hcp (1500m)
Dufficy: I’m guessing here with Black Belt. I thought he was unlucky with the big weight when resuming and 1500m suits him much better as will the dry track. Alvin the Bold is still a touch raw but has been good this preparation and should get across looking at the speed map. He is going to give a good sight again. Go Troppo has won three of his past four starts and is right in the zone. Yiyi impressed winning on the heavy first-up and should continue to improve.
Thomas: I want to stay with Bazooka. He’s run well on heavy tracks in successive starts and is ready to win. Tough three-year-old and should go close. Go Troppo is in great touch and rates highly again. I’m also expecting Black Belt to prove hard to beat after his good first-up effort. Yiyi was a little green under pressure at Newcastle but he was strong through the line. Improver who has to be included in the main chances.
R4: July Sprint (1100m)
Dufficy: I like All Time Legend. He had an easy time of it in his trial. He’s a talented horse, fairly adaptable and will be hard to beat. Trumbull is the danger. He’s had a couple of trials back, appears to be going well and this is a lovely race for him. Gaulois hasn’t won in a while but he appears to be in good shape at the trials although this could be a touch short for him. Chat can sprint well fresh with no weight.
Thomas: All Time Legend has a very good first-up record, handles tracks with some give in them and a significant 8kg weight pull over Trumbull. This gives All Time Legend the edge. Trumbull is a top class sprinter and his recent barrier trial win was impressive. I’m interested in Barbaric. He’s a classy young sprinter trialling well for his comeback. Man Of Peace is resuming and will run his usual competitive race.
R5: Schweppes Hcp (2400m)
Dufficy: Harpo Marx looks a real winter staying talent. He has a big weight but the claim helps and he should be hard to hold out again. No Compromise has been racing consistently and has to be in the frame somewhere. Montabot ran a much improved race at huge odds when having only his second Australian start. He should continue to improve. Sounds Of Cannon ran well over this track and distance last start and does no work early form barrier one.
Thomas: Harpo Marx was so impressive at Randwick, defying the track bias against backmarkers when he zoomed past his rivals to score with real authority over 2000m. He’s a strong stayer and Tom Sherry’s claim is advantageous. Sound Of Cannons struck trouble in the straight when a close third to Spencer last start. He’s improving with racing and is a lightweight hope. No Compromise is holding his form and should go close.
Rachel King combined with Harpo Marx for an easy win at Rosehill Gardens earlier in the month. Picture: Mark Evans – Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images
R6: City Tattersalls Club Hcp (1200m)
Dufficy: I’m leaning to Maddi Rocks. She is first-up for the John O’Shea stable, has had three trials and should be ready to go with blinkers on. The drying track is good for her. Seleque is a nice filly on the rise but her draw is the main issue. Stellar Pauline is the forgotten horse at big odds. She has had five weeks between runs and is dropping in class. Dame Kiri is another who will appreciate a drier track but might need a tough further.
Thomas: Misteed was having her first run in six weeks and just missed behind the very fit Van Giz at Randwick. Good mare drawn to get the right run and will go close. Seleque is racing in top form and will be in the mix again. I’ve also got Stellar Pauline in my numbers, she can improve on the drier track. Don’t overlook Hasstobegood. She’s a handy mare who is trialling well and can a competitive race for her new stable.
R7: Winter Challenge (1500m)
Dufficy: I’ve ended up going with Countofmontecristo. He is back on a dry track, James McDonald is sticking which is a big plus, and I’m happy to judge him on his very good first-up run. Ziegfeld had too much to do first-up when he tried to contest the lead with Bandersnatch only to tire late. I feel he has improvement to come. Order Again and True Detective are racing very consistently and should be around the mark again.
Thomas: Kirwan’s Lane ran down the talented Ellsberg over this course and distance then wasn’t beaten far at Randwick and Flemington. The improving track conditions suit, drawn to get the right run and will be competitive in an open race. Order Again and True Detective are holding their form through the winter and both are right in this race. It’s been a while since Military Zone has won a race but he’s finally back on a track that suits him.
Brenton Avdulla and Kirwan’s Lane burst out of the shadows to win at Rosehill Gardens. Picture: Mark Evans – Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images
R8: Midway Hcp (1500m)
Dufficy: I’m convinced Ashim is the bet of the day, Ray. He maps well from the good draw, 1500m suits third-up and he is ready to win a race like this. Arctic Thunder wasn’t suited back in distance last start and the stable is in form. This appears a target race for him. Savvy Crown is a strong horse who invariably is better second-up but he still has some claims. Fantastic Baby has been well placed to date but the wide draw is the main problem.
Thomas: I’ve also gone with Ashim. He’s run well in both Australian starts, gets out to 1500, perfect barrier and is ready to win. Arctic Thunder is a promising type and this is her optimum distance. She will be charging home. Fantastic Baby is building a good race record but she is going to need everything to go right from her outside draw. War Cabinet has won two from three this campaign and can run well at each way odds.
R9: The Agency Real Estate Hcp (1200m)
Dufficy: Cuban Royale is great value. The blinkers are back on and he did more than enough first-up. The dry track suits and he goes on top at the odds. Tony Be is a big query. His two trials have been excellent and he was in the market in a Group 2 in New Zealand last start. I just don’t know about his credentials at 1200m. Rustic Steel is a likeable horse with a good will-to-win. He should be very competitive. Lancaster Bomber had legitimate excuses last start and despite the tricky draw he is right in this race.
Thomas: Smart Image indicated he was ready to win after finishing hard to just miss over this course and distance last start. He’s missed a couple of races due to heavy tracks but has trialled between runs. The improving track is the key to his chances. Rustic Steel impressed first-up and should be further improved. Hard to beat. Lancaster Bomber is very genuine and just needs luck to go his way early to be in the finish again. Tycoonist also has to overcome a wide draw but he’s racing in very good form.
R10: Quayclean Hcp (1300m)
Dufficy: It’s only the barrier draw that stops me from being very keen on Madam Legend. She looked very good winning first-up and only has to overcome the wide barrier to be hard to beat again. Frosty Rocks should fire out from the inside draw and get control up front. His three trials should have him ready to go. Ventura Ocean is hard to gauge but he is two for two in Australia. He resumes in a harder class although he must be included among the main chances. Bigboyroy is usually competitive fresh but hasn’t won over less than 1500m.
Thomas: Madam Legend unleashed an impressive burst of acceleration to win first-up over 1100m here a month ago. She gets to 1300m here and has an outside draw to overcome but I also think she can get the job done. Frosty Rocks jumps to the front early and will be tough to run down. Dream Circle was caught on the worst part of the track last start and is worth another chance. Vitesse is very fit and racing in top form.
Originally published asRay and Duff give the lowdown on Rosehill Gardens
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